Home-price growth predicted to slow down this year

Worsening affordability will slow down home buying activity. Over the past several years, home price growth has largely outpaced income growth, making for an increasingly unaffordable home-buying environment. And next year, even as growth in home prices cools, limited supply will continue to help push prices up to some degree.

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With greater choice, home price growth in Western Washington continued to slow in fourth quarter, with a year-over-year increase of 5% to $486,667. Notably, prices were down 3.3% compared to the third quarter of 2018. Home prices, although higher than a year ago, continue to slow.

But homeowners probably shouldn’t expect to see double-digit gains in 2019, as they did over the last year or so. Price growth in this real estate market is predicted to slow down over the coming months. disclaimer: This report includes predictions and forecasts relating to the Charlotte, North Carolina real estate market in 2018 and 2019.

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Golden State home price appreciation is projected to slow to a six-year low in 2019, although rising mortgage rates will reduce affordability even further. The California Association of Realtors’ 2019 Housing Market Forecast expects that the median single-family home price will end this year at $575,800, up by 7.0 percent on an annual basis.

Over the first half of 2019, home-price growth will stay slow. Our forecasts have price growth settling around 3 percent, which would be the slowest price growth we’ve seen in years. As recently as the first half of this year, prices were still growing 7 percent, and price growth has reliably exceeded 5% since the start of 2015.

But output in New Mexico fell slightly in June, down by 14,000 bpd. In other words, growth has been pretty slow this year. Financial stress is really setting in, forcing drillers to cut.

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Annual price gains are accelerating. Yet CoreLogic thinks home prices will rise 5.2% in the coming 12 months. It’s worth repeating that analyst expectations about moderation in home-price growth have been wrong again and again. In May 2017, CoreLogic forecasted year-ahead price growth of 4.9%. The actual 7% gain dwarfed that estimate.

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Home-Price Growth Continued to Slow in June S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National home price index rose 3.1% for the year ending in June, down from a 3.3% annual pace the prior month